July 16, 2014  |  permalink

Next City: Airlines and Airports Brace for a Massive Surge in Passengers

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(Originally published at Next City on July 14, 2014.)

If you doubt the world is really comprised of a network of cities — rather than that increasingly creaky construct, the nation-state — look no further than time-lapse photography of global air routes. One can spot the glowing economic cores of Western European, Northeast Asia and the Eastern Seaboard at a glance.

But the strength of those ties is changing. Boeing released its latest 20-year forecast for aviation last week, and it predicts the number of airline passengers will double in the next two decades. The surge in new travelers will produce demand for 36,770 new planes worth $5.2 trillion, and Boeing expects the vast majority of those planes (more than 25,000) will be of the single-aisle variety – preferably a successor to the Boeing 737, as ubiquitous and utilitarian as a city bus. Most of these new customers will be airlines in Asia, as rising incomes in the continent’s emerging middle class propel waves of Chinese, Indian and Indonesian tourists to Phuket and Hainan just as the original 737s ferried Americans to Orlando and Las Vegas.

Such numbers might sound absurd to Westerners – how could there be twice as many passengers in a mere 20 years? But globally, air traffic has already nearly doubled in just the last decade. What’s more, the largest deals in the history of Airbus and Boeing — for 234 aircraft in 2013 worth $24 billion at list prices, and for 230 jets in 2011 worth $22.4 billion, respectively — were both made with an airline most Americans have never even heard of: Indonesia’s Lion Air. “There are three billion people in Asia, there are 300 million people in America. America has about three times more planes right now than Asia,” AirAsia founder Tony Fernandes told Bloomberg Television last year.

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July 10, 2014  |  permalink

Ready for Hillary

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One of the highlights of attending the Clinton Global Initiative America this year was posing with “the Secretary,” as she’s called, as a reward for making a commitment to action. I didn’t have a “me wall” before, but I guess I just started one.

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July 09, 2014  |  permalink

Aspen Public Radio

Aspen Public Radio has a brief interview with me taped before last month’s Aspen Ideas Festival, but didn’t hit the Web until today. (I guess there was a backlog of thought leaders.) I talked about the usual suspects — cities, serendipity, transportation, and more. The audio is above.

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June 30, 2014  |  permalink

NBBJ: The City Is a Social Network

While visting NBBJ — the architects of Amazon’s, Google’s, and Samsung’s new campuses — in Seattle last month, I sat down to talk about cities, inequality, and the future of work. Please enjoy each of the resulting short films below:

 

 

 

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June 30, 2014  |  permalink

Aspen Ideas: Cities and Serendipity

Ahead of my talks on cities and serendipity here in Aspen, I spoke briefly with genConnect about what makes a great city. (Hint: it involves Tinder.)

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June 29, 2014  |  permalink

Aspen Ideas: Future Megacities and the Fate of Millions

I’m in Aspen this weekend for the tenth annual installment of the Aspen Ideas Festival, where I’m moderating several sessions on a new track named “The Metropolis.” The first, “Future Megacities and the Fate of Millions” brought together Shining Hope For Communities’ Kennedy Odede, McKinsey’s Shirish Sankhe, and the Sante Fe Institute’s Luis Bettancourt for a lively and wide-ranging conversation on cities, slums, and how to build better versions of each.

Video of the session is above; the official description is below:

A generation ago, New York and Tokyo were the world’s only megacities. By 2025, the UN predicts there will be 37. All but a handful will be in the developing world. The fate of millions, then, rests on the question: what will life in these megacities look like? While density is an almost universally celebrated urban characteristic, rapid population growth can also result in poorly planned, congested, and unsafe settlements, leading many to ask: Are slums the inevitable urban form of the future? How might big data and progressive planning ensure that even the fastest growing cities are places of opportunity for the billions that will live in them?

 

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June 29, 2014  |  permalink

Announcing the Motor Cities Project

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I’m proud to announce the Motor Cities Project, the culmination of more than a year of research and the start of years of work in Detroit. Launched last week as an official commitment to action at the Clinton Global Initiative America conference in Denver, the Motor Cities Project is a two-year pilot project by the World Policy Institute and Pilot Projects Design Collective to repopulate and revitalize Detroit using lessons learned from thriving communities in developing world megacities.

The Associated Press coverage of the announcement is below; the official press release is after the jump.

Motor City Project to spur economic growth in northwest Detroit neighborhood

By Associated Press

A plan to spur economic growth in a northwest Detroit neighborhood was announced Tuesday during the 2014 Clinton Global Initiative America meeting in Denver.

The Motor City Project will highlight the use of available resources like manpower, vacant land and empty buildings to make the area attractive to potential and current residents seeking to start their own businesses.

It also will help new arrivals work through cumbersome city codes and other red tape to operate home- and neighborhood-based businesses, World Policy Institute Senior Fellow Greg Lindsay said.

Lindsay said zoning rules in many U.S. cities make it difficult for entrepreneurs to operate out of their homes or garages, but such “microenterprises” have been successful in poorer countries.

He pointed to the practice of salvaging wood, countertops and other materials from abandoned houses in Detroit and selling it to retrofit homes.

“That’s what happens every day in places like Nairobi,” Lindsay said. “They are starved for resources. People realize everything they have is an asset.”

The Detroit neighborhood chosen is a mix of homes and small manufacturing. It is anchored by Focus: Hope, a social and economic services agency.

As part of the project, a so-called Resilience Center will be created to attract “urban homesteaders and migrants from other neighborhoods, cities and countries to relocate to the area,” the World Policy Institute said in a release.

Staff also will work with entrepreneurs to find funding and other support for their ventures.

“We want to create this pop-up community center where we would bring in new arrivals and help them acclimate to their conditions,” Lindsay said.

The two-year project is in the design and development phase and is starting with in-kind contributions. It hopes to expand with partners from the Clinton Foundation’s Clinton Global Initiative. The initiative was establish in 2005 by former President Bill Clinton. It brings together foundations, business and government leaders to develop solutions to challenges impacting people around the world.

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June 22, 2014  |  permalink

New Cities Summit 2014: Global Air Hubs

Last month in Dallas, I moderated a session at the New Cities Summit on the importance of global air hubs — a particularly appropos topic given the location, which is the largest metropolitan region in United States that doesn’t sit beside or straddle a major body of water. Instead, DFW has one of the world’s busiest airports at its core. Airport CEO Sean Donohue and Boyd Aviation’s Mike Boyd joined me for a fun and lively conversation on the future of aviation and why DFW is perfectly positions to be the only hub you’ll ever need connecting Asia and Latin America.

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June 21, 2014  |  permalink

The Driverless Car: Heaven or Hell?

Back in May, I interviewed Zipcar and Buzzcar founder Robin Chase at New York Internet Week, in a session titled “The Driverless Car: Heaven or Hell?” (The short answer: it could be Heaven, but will probably be Hell.) Robin was game to answer my questions despite the hurricane of noise onstage. (Please pardon my shouting — I couldn’t hear myself think.) The video is above; enjoy.

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June 21, 2014  |  permalink

Meet the Serendipity Engine

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I’m proud to announce Katrina Szabo and I are runners-up in the inaugural Space Forward Ideas Competition to imagine the future of the workplace. Our entry was titled “Serendipity Engine,” and you can read about the concept below, as well as download Katrina’s design of the space in PDF form at the bottom.

Welcome to the Serendipity Engine, a workspace dedicated to the discovery of people, ideas, and opportunities — one made possible by a unique confluence of place and technology. It covers the entire social spectrum of work, from a lounge and yoga studio for meeting coworkers, to an auditorium for classes, to locked rooms for total concentration. And it’s open to anyone willing to share their goals, skills and time when they’re present.

But what sets it apart from even the best-designed offices is the Engine itself — an iPhone and Android app talking constantly to the hundreds of Apple iBeacon sensors embedded throughout the space. These sensors note members’ movements, behavior, and proximity to others, using this data to better understand both how the space is used and who’s using it. It’s more than an office — it’s a professional social network overlaid onto real space, in real time.

Given this information along with members’ histories and profiles, the Engine can intervene as well as listen. Coworkers not only decide where they want to work each day, but whom they want to work with — people’s locations are logged by the system. And even if they don’t know their future mentors, co-founders, or funders are present — the Engine is happy to make the introductions.

The hope is to unlock more value from what makes the best workplaces so great — new connections between smart coworkers who have all the room they need to think. All they need is a little serendipity to strike.

Layout of the Serendipity Engine.

What is the Serendipity Engine?

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About Greg Lindsay

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Greg Lindsay is a journalist, urbanist, and speaker. He is a contributing writer for Fast Company, author of the forthcoming book Engineering Serendipity, and co-author of Aerotropolis: The Way We’ll Live Next. He is also a senior fellow of the World Policy Institute — where he is director of the Emergent Cities Project — a visiting scholar at New York University’s Rudin Center for Transportation Policy & Management, and a research affiliate of the New England Complex Systems Institute (NECSI).

» More about Greg Lindsay

Articles by Greg Lindsay

Inc.  |  March 2015

Which Contacts Should You Keep in Touch With? Let This Software Tell You

Inc.  |  March 2015

5 Global Cities of the Future

Global Solution Networks  |  December 2014

Cities on the Move

Medium  |  November 2014

Engineering Serendipity

New York University  |  October 2014

Sin City vs. SimCity

Harvard Business Review  |  October 2014

Workspaces That Move People

Inc.  |  April 2014

The Network Effect

Atlantic Cities  |  March 2014

How Las Vegas (Of All Places) May Be About to Reinvent Car Ownership

Wired (UK)  |  October 2013

How to Build a Serendipity Engine

Next American City  |  August 2013

IBM’s Department of Education

The New York Times  |  April 2013

Engineering Serendipity

Fast Company  |  March 2013

Swedish Modern Comes To Town

Fast Company  |  March 2013

Working Beyond the Cube

Fast Company  |  December 2012/January 2013

Imagine Air Travel Without Hassle: Surf Air Can

WSJ  |  November 2012

Jeanne Gang

Fast Company  |  June 2012

That’s So Fly

Next American City  |  May 2012

Chartered Territory

The New York Times  |  Feburary 2012

Designing a Fix for Housing

Departures  |  October 2011

Instant Cities

Travel + Leisure  |  October 2011

The Future of Travel

» See all articles

Blog

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March 19, 2015

Inc: Which Contacts Should You Keep in Touch With? Let This Software Tell You

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