October 30, 2022  |  permalink

Boston Globe: Here today. Gone tomorrow. Back someday because of climate change

“As the Sun Belt suffers from increasing vulnerability, the question is can New England benefit from that?” I asked The Boston Globe’s Cameron Sperance in his story exploring whether its climate resilience might spark a reversal of the region’s long-term outflow of residents.

Not so fast, said the other experts quoted. A much bigger factor than climate is the region’s dramatic shortfall of affordable housing — a problem made worse by the NIMBYism of local residents. What good does it do New England to be a climate haven if no one can move there? But that’s all the reason to start planning — and building — for tomorrow’s arrivals now, said my friend and colleague Parag Khanna, the CEO of our startup, Climate Alpha.

“You don’t want this kind of reckless climate gentrification overrunning places where you get crowding out and pricing ordinary people out of the market,” he said. “If you just think with a rigorous scientific lens, you should be thinking about the places that would be more resilient [and] pre-designing in the sense of sustainable technology and enlarging the capacity of those geographies to absorb greater populations.”

Click here to read more.

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October 12, 2022  |  permalink

The Construction Disruption Podcast

Isaiah Industries’ Todd Miller recently invited me on his “Construction Disruption” podcast for a wide-ranging chat. Listen to the embedded audio above or hit the link for the podcast platform of your choice. Here’s a little of what we talked about:

As our world grows and evolves, technology and humanity intersect in complex and often unexpected ways. Artificial intelligence is a prime example, as it improves alongside human understanding, making a powerful partner in work and play. We’ve already seen AI create art, write stories, and win at chess and Jeopardy. Who knows what the future holds?

Futurists like Greg Lindsay interpret the web of humanity and technology to predict the state of the world in the next five, fifty, and five hundred years. Greg is a journalist turned futurist, bringing a critical eye to issues like transportation, mixed reality, housing, and urban planning.

In this episode, Greg discusses solutions for affordable housing, troubling traffic statistics, worldwide responses to the pandemic, the air travel boom, and his experiences living across the globe.

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October 04, 2022  |  permalink

Moss Adams’ Building Opportunity 2022

The folks at Moss Adams asked me to return as the opening keynote of their Building Opportunity 2022 conference, in a reprise of my opening address two years, during the depths of the pandemic. Needless to say, things have been looking for cities since then. Watch my hour-long virtual address above or on YouTube; an overview is below.

Outmigration from major cities into more rural areas—and a new era of accessibility of goods and services through technology—are changing real estate as we know it. This, in turn, means rethinking who and what cities are for and what they should look like in the future.

Watch our on-demand webcast, The Future of Cities and Urban Planning. With more than a decade of writing and research on globalization, urbanism, innovation, and adaptability, urbanist and futurist speaker Greg Lindsay addresses the impact of recent trends on the future of cities.

This is one webcast in our four-part virtual 2022 Building Opportunity Conference.

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October 01, 2022  |  permalink

Introducing: the Cornell Tech Urban Tech Fellowship

I’m delighted to announce I’ve been selected as one of the inaugural Urban Tech Fellows at the Jacobs-Technion Cornell Institute’s Urban Tech Hub, which is located on Cornell Tech’s campus on Roosevelt Island in New York City. I’m excited to work with the hub’s director Michael Samuelian, research + program manager Nneka Sobers, and urbanist-in-residence Anthony Townsend — a former and future collaborator — along with my fellow fellows Paul Salama, Cara Eckholm, Mirtha Santana, and Rasmi Elasmar.

The focus of my year-long fellowship will be The Metaverse Metropolis, which you can read about in more detail here. Watch this site for additional details in the coming year!

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September 26, 2022  |  permalink

“Emerging Disruptive Technologies,” WMDs, and the future of NATO

Earlier this year, my friend Brian David Johnson — a fellow futurist and director of the Arizona State University Threatcasting Lab — recruited me to help write and edit a report for NATO(!) on the implications of “emerging disruptive technologies” such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing and cryptography, robotics, and so on. He had assembled a group of interdisciplinary experts to imagine, scheme, and write stories using his “threatcasting” technique of concretely imagining how people might respond to future threats, and in turn, how to mitigate them. Here are the research questions they were asked:

What are the future implications of Emerging Disruptive Technologies (EDTs) on the future of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) warfare? How might EDTs increase the lethality and effectiveness of WMDs in kinetic warfare? How can civic leaders and public servants prepare for and mitigate projected threats?

Given these were being asked under the long shadow of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, this was heavy stuff. The final report has just been published, and I’m proud to be list as a co-author alongside Brian, the United States Military Academy’s Natalie Vanatta and Jason C. Brown, and the historian James Carrott.

The report is available for download here, but here’s a brief excerpt from the introduction to give you a flavor of our findings, and why we should all take the threat of nuclear weapon use in Ukraine very, very seriously:

In the coming decade, state and nonstate adversaries will use EDTs to attack systems and populations that may initiate and accelerate existing geopolitical conflict escalation. EDTs are expected to be used both in the initial attack or escalation as well as a part of the detection and decisionmaking process. Due to the speed of EDTs, expected confusion, and common lack of human oversight, attacks will also be incorrectly attributed, which has the capacity to escalate rapid geopolitical conflict to global military conflict, and ultimately, to the use of nuclear WMDs. The use of EDTs in the shadow of nuclear WMDs is also expected to create an existential threat to possible adversaries, pushing them to “lower the bar” of acceptability for using nuclear WMDs. EDTs will enable and embolden insider threats, both willing and unknowing, to effect geopolitical conflict on a global scale.

In addition, the combination of multiple EDTs when used together for attacks will create WMD effects on populations and governments. Furthermore, EDTs will be used by adversaries to target and destabilize critical infrastructure systems, such as food, energy, and transportation, etc. that will have a broader effect on populations and governments. EDTs will enable adversaries to perpetrate a long-game attack, where the effect and attribution of the attack may not be detected for an extended period—if ever.

To combat these future threats, organizations will need to conduct research and intelligence gathering paired with exploratory research and development to better understand the state of EDTs and their potential impacts. With this information, organizations will need to conduct collaborative “wargaming” and planning to explore a range of possible and potential threats of EDTs. The knowledge gained from all of these activities will inform future training and best practices to prepare for and address these threats.

Organizations will also need to increase their investments in EDT related domains, necessitating countries to not only change how they fight, but also evolve their thinking about deterrence. Expanded regulation, policy making, and political solidarity among members will take on an increasingly more significant and expanded role. Broader government, military, and civilian cooperation will be needed to disrupt and mitigate some of these future threats in conjunction with broader public awareness. All of these actions will place a higher value on cooperation and shared resiliency among NATO members.

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September 18, 2022  |  permalink

Denver Post: With Colorado “getting strange,” Michigan may be the place to be as climate changes

My fall speaking tour kicked off out west this week with the RE/MAX Commercial Symposium in Tucson on Tuesday, followed by a short hop to Denver for the Colorado Commercial Real Estate Symposium. (Are you sensing a theme?) My talk in Denver was covered by The Denver Post, which made me sound maybe a little more alarmist than I had intended. (Okay, it was exactly the level of alarmism I was aiming for.) From their story:

People who relocated during the pandemic favored areas at higher risk of disruption due to climate change, but they may come to regret those moves over the long term, futurist Greg Lindsay told a gathering of the Denver Metro Commercial Association of Realtors on Thursday morning.

“Americans are moving in the wrong direction,” Lindsay said of migration patterns during the pandemic, and even before. “Markets are underpricing climate risk.”

Wrong as in moving from cooler northern coastal areas and the upper Midwest to the Sunbelt. Wrong as in moving to Arizona and Nevada, popular states that suffer from ever-increasing temperatures and worsening drought. Wrong as in flocking in large numbers to coastal Florida and Miami, where rising water levels could submerge vast swaths of land in coming decades if powerful hurricanes don’t scrape them first.

Read the rest here.

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September 12, 2022  |  permalink

Introducing: Climate Alpha

Nearly a decade ago, as geopolitical competition, economic dislocation, technological disruption, and climate change began their breakneck acceleration, my friend Parag Khanna and I wrote an essay for Reuters asking, “Where will you live in 2050?” Assessing risks around the globe, we took a stab at identifying the regions most likely to adapt to mounting complexity through a combination of good governance and climate resilient. (The punchline: Parag promptly moved to Singapore, opting for governance. I later chose Montréal, prioritizing the opposite side of our equation.)

Not content to spitball ideas in op-eds, Parag took our musings a step further — recruiting some of the most talented minds in climate science and software engineering, he built an analytics platform combining climate models, real estate valuations, and socio-economic trends. The result is a forecasting tool expressly designed to steer investment toward the (currently undervalued) resilient regions of tomorrow. Meet Climate Alpha.

I’m delighted to join the company — which officially launches today — as its chief communications officer, helping to tell our story. Follow us on LinkedIn for regular updates, or drop by our News page for press mentions and Insights for analysis of our own. More to come.

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September 09, 2022  |  permalink

Condé Nast Traveler: How These 4 Countries Are Designing Futuristic Cities—From Floating Neighborhoods to Mega-Metropolises

Condé Nast Traveler’s Tom Vanderbilt was kind enough to quote me in his roundup of futuristic new cities from around the globe, ranging from Saudi Arabia’s NEOM to Oceanix’ proposed floating city off the coast of Busan, South Korea, to more prosaic efforts like Egypt’s new administrative capital. I couldn’t help but pour a little cold water on the idea:

Might any of these projects live up to the outsize dreams of their creators? The jury is out. “What makes a successful city is that it possesses a level of social and economic complexity,” says Greg Lindsay, a senior fellow at MIT’s Future Urban Collectives Lab. “Most of the city builders I’ve worked with still struggle with understanding how to build that.” The desire to create iconic architecture and high-tech infrastructure often overlooks all those bottom-up, unsexy things that make a city tick.

Read the rest here.

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September 05, 2022  |  permalink

Cartus’ Mobility Matters Podcast: Exploring the Future of Cities Post-COVID with Futurist Greg Lindsay

My friends at Cartus — the corporate mobility specialists every Relo knows intimately and few others do — invited me to speak at their client conference this spring and then invited me back onto their podcast, which you can listen to here or below. (Apple, Spotify, and other formats are available as well.)

Here’s what you’re missing:

From futuristic technology to providing for highly skilled workers in a competitive talent market, this bonus episode takes a deep dive into the future of mobility. We explore remote work, flexibility in the workplace, and mobility challenges and opportunities across the world.

In this fast-paced episode led by Cartus’ Dalia Begin and Trevor Macomber, listeners will learn valuable insights and knowledge provided by two-time Jeopardy Champion, Greg Lindsay. Don’t miss it!

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August 22, 2022  |  permalink

Central Houston Inc.‘s State & Future of Downtown 2022 Preview

I’m honored to have been asked to deliver the opening keynote at Central Houston Inc.‘s State & Future of Downtown event on Nov. 4th. Just to give you a taste of what’s to come, CHI’s Kim Scates and I caught up on what I’ve been working on. Video above — don’t watch if you don’t want any spoilers on my upcoming projects!

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About Greg Lindsay

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Greg Lindsay is a generalist, urbanist, futurist, and speaker. He is a 2022-2023 urban tech fellow at Cornell Tech’s Jacobs Institute, where he leads The Metaverse Metropolis — a new initiative exploring the implications of augmented reality at urban scale. He is also the chief communications officer at Climate Alpha, an AI-driven location-analysis platform steering investment toward climate adaptation and more resilient regions; a senior fellow of MIT’s Future Urban Collectives Lab, and a non-resident senior fellow of the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Strategy Initiative.

» More about Greg Lindsay

Articles by Greg Lindsay

-----  |  January 1, 2023

2023 Speaking Topics

CityLab  |  December 7, 2021

The Dark Side of 15-Minute Grocery Delivery

Fast Company  |  June 2021

Why the Great Lakes need to be the center of our climate strategy

Fast Company  |  March 2020

How to design a smart city that’s built on empowerment–not corporate surveillance

URBAN-X  |  December 2019

ZINE 03: BETTER

CityLab  |  December 10, 2018

The State of Play: Connected Mobility in San Francisco, Boston, and Detroit

Harvard Business Review  |  September 24, 2018

Why Companies Are Creating Their Own Coworking Spaces

CityLab  |  July 2018

The State of Play: Connected Mobility + U.S. Cities

Medium  |  May 1, 2017

The Engine Room

Fast Company  |  January 19, 2017

The Collaboration Software That’s Rejuvenating The Young Global Leaders Of Davos

The Guardian  |  January 13, 2017

What If Uber Kills Public Transport Instead of Cars

Backchannel  |  January 4, 2017

The Office of the Future Is… an Office

New Cities Foundation  |  October 2016

Now Arriving: A Connected Mobility Roadmap for Public Transport

Inc.  |  October 2016

Why Every Business Should Start in a Co-Working Space

Popular Mechanics  |  May 11, 2016

Can the World’s Worst Traffic Problem Be Solved?

The New Republic  |  January/February 2016

Hacking The City

Fast Company  |  September 22, 2015

We Spent Two Weeks Wearing Employee Trackers: Here’s What We Learned

Fast Company  |  September 21, 2015

HR Meets Data: How Your Boss Will Monitor You To Create The Quantified Workplace

Inc.  |  March 2015

Which Contacts Should You Keep in Touch With? Let This Software Tell You

Inc.  |  March 2015

5 Global Cities of the Future

» See all articles

Blog

March 05, 2023

Design & Solidarity Book Launch

February 28, 2023

Renewing the Dream: The Mobility Revolution and the Future of Los Angeles

February 28, 2023

frog: The Road Ahead

February 25, 2023

Elon University & Pew: The Future of Human Agency

» More blog posts